In 2017, the president of the United States, Donald Trump over and over again asked foreign leaders, as well as his personal aides about the condition for attacking a different nation.
At this point you might be thinking that President Trump is considering attacking North Korea. Well, if that is what you are thinking, you are wrong. President Trump is considering invading Venezuela. Although not a lot of people expect this, there are definitely reasons behind this move.
Based on a lot of reports, President Trump held talks with his most senior advisers in August, 2017, and they considered the option of attacking Venezuela just for the purpose of overthrowing the Venezuela president, Nicolas Maduro. It is believed that an overthrow of the Venezuelan president will be the beginning of a lasting solution to the long political and economic issues that the people of Venezuela have had to suffer for a long time.
In as much as President Trump claimed to have good intensions about attacking Venezuela, his national security adviser at the time, H.R. McMaster, as well as other senior officials were not in support of President Trumps proposal. Their reason was; an attack of Venezuela was most likely going to fail from the beginning and would turn the allies of the United States against them.
In as much as H.R. McMaster’s point of view seemed to make a lot of sense, Trump did not appear discouraged
A day after having talks with H.R. McMaster, President Trump made it publicly made it known that he was considering making use of his military to take out the Venezuelan president.
Already, Venezuela has reacted to Trump’s plan to attack with the Venezuelan minister of defence calling President Threat an “act of craziness” and “supreme extremism.” Although Donald Trump’s threat are not soothing to anyone’s ears, policy experts are of the idea that Trump’s threat to attack Venezuela should be more of an assistance to the president of Venezuela rather that agonize him. “No one has helped Maduro as much as Trump and this nonsense he said today”. This was the statement of Jose Miguel Vivanco, the Americas director for Human Rights Watch.
Now, Trump’s statement undoubtedly shocked the whole world, even his own country was not left out of the shock. The Pentagon was also shocked by President Trump’s comment and tried hard to make some amends by claiming it had not received any new orders as regards Venezuela.
At the moment, the situation might be already bad, matters get even worse. Not very long after the press conference in which Trump announced that he was considering invading Venezuela, President Trump also brought up the topic while in a meeting with the president of Columbia President Juan Manuel Santos. As if that was not enough, he went on to bring up the same topic while having dinner with other presidents of Latin American countries.
Trump was quoted to have said “my staff told me not to say this”, and then went on to ask his fellow presidents if they were certain that they were not in support of the United States attacking Venezuela. As was expected, the presidents of four Latin American countries that were having dinner with President Trump made it clear that they were not in support of the military invasion of Venezuela.
Trump’s Military cannot Solve Venezuela’s Crisis
Although President Trump might be of the idea that the United States’ military invasion of Venezuela is the solution to the Venezuelan crises, he can be proven wrong in lots of ways. This is simply because the crises in Venezuela is military related in anyway. While it is an undeniable fact that Venezuela currently is not finding it funny, the presence of troops from the United States on Venezuela soil won’t have any positive impact on the issues at hand.
In the words of retired Adm. James Stavridis, a top United States military official from 2006 to 2009 for Central and South America, There is no sensible military option for the US in Venezuela in terms of regime change.”
One of the reasons behind Maduro’s action of imprisoning his political opponents is he is putting a check to a continuously increasing protests with deadly force. This has led to the deaths of hundreds of protesters in just one year.
A year ago, the president of Venezuela organized an election which got rigged in his favour. This election brought in a distinctive legislative group that took over the Venezuelan parliament. The plan from the outset was to replace the Venezuelan parliament which put a check to the powers of President Maduro with a body that would dance to the tunes of the president, thereby giving him more power.
Although the replacement of the Venezuelan parliament with another body is bad enough, things are actually much worse than this. In May this year, President Maduro emerged victorious in another election which was clearly rigged in his favour. With this new victory, President Maduro of Venezuela now has complete control of the Venezuelan government with no real opposition in sight.
It is no longer news that President Maduro has sunk the Venezuelan economy into serious crises. As a matter of fact, the country’s economy is getting worse and has not showed any sign of getting better.
It might not be very easy to accurately assess how bad the Venezuelan economy is at the moment. In 2014, as a result of a drop in the price of oil all around the world, Venezuela found itself in serious recession. In as much as the drop in oil prices is enough to lead to a recession, it is not the only reason for the Venezuelan recession. The massive regulations on the Venezuela currency have contributed to the high levels of inflation that are being experienced in Venezuela. Based on reports by the International Monetary Funds (IMF), it is estimated that the prices of commodity in Venezuela will increase by over 700% before this year runs out. Since 2015, there have been serious shortage of food in Venezuela. As a result of this food shortage, over 75% of the residents of this country have lost an average of 19 pounds.
Whilst President Trump has considered a military option as a solution to the Venezuelan crises and has spoken to other Presidents about it, there are no signs that the United States is about to attack Venezuela anytime soon. The lack of indications of an impending attack of Venezuela by The United States is considered a good thing because the thought of the attack in the first place was a very bad notion.
“I don’t think that a military invasion is in the US interest right now”, these are the words of retired Air Force Gen. Douglas Fraster, the senior United States military commander for Central and South America between 2009 and 2012. “The problem Venezuela faces are not military issues and concerns-they’re really diplomatic, political, and economic,”
“The military is not going to solve any of those problems,” he stated.
President Maduro seems to be very comfortable with President Trump’s bluff, he claims that the United States has been plotting against him for some years. “A military intervention on the part of the US empire will never be a solution to Venezuela’s problems,” Maduro made it known in a military ceremony that took place in Columbia on the 5th of July. You cannot lower your guard for even a second, because we will defend the greatest right our homeland has had in all its history, which is to live in peace”.
The unanalysed Part of Trump’s Statement
Trump has not denied his intentions to attack Venezuela in any way. However, there is a likelihood that President Trump’s statement could have been made in another context. Just three days before Trumps threat of attacking Venezuela was made public, President Donald Trump had made it known that he would vent “fire and fury” on North Korea if it did not stop its threat towards the United States and its allies.
At the time President Trump threatened to release “fire and fury” on North Korea, tensions between Washington and Pyongyang was at its peak.
Well, while all that lasted, President Trump perhaps thought that the best way to get out of all that tension was to divert his attention to Venezuela. So, he decided to ask everyone that worked with him if he could indeed attack Venezuela.
As is already in the news, all those that President Trump asked if he could attack Venezuela thought it to be a bad idea. He decided to further seek the opinion of some other people. This time, leaders of countries.
Ultimately, the news of President Trump planning on attacking Venezuela perhaps settles the dust on the belief that Trump is not someone that loves making use of the United States military. This is because, going by the issues of a threat on Venezuela, Trump would not mind using his military might.
Now, talking about the likelihood of Trump making use of his military might. Just last year alone, the United States released over 9,000 more bombs on the ISIS fighters more than what President Barack Obama dropped in 2016. Although the increase in the number of bombs that Donald Trump has dropped on ISIS is the one of the most significant cases of Trump’s ability to make use of the American military might, it is not the only case. Other cases in which Trump has made it clear to the world that he would not mind using his military is the rise in the support of Saudi Arabia’s war in Yemen by the American government. This is in addition to increasing the number of American troops in Yemen by more than 100%. President Trump has also sent in more American soldiers into Iraq and Afghanistan.
Already, President Donald Trump has made a confrontation with two of America’s most likely opposition, Russia and China an important part of his strategy for national security. The Trump administration has also increased the number of American ships and Planes in the pacific region, as well as the average presence of America’s military forces.
Although the increase of the United States’ military presence in many regions of the world has many advantages for the world’s most powerful country, it also comes with disadvantages. As a result of the increase in the presence of the United States military, last year a total of 33 lives were lost. This is the highest number of American lives that have been lost in war zones in the last 6 years.